Do we get the full ‘Bo Nix experience’ against Washington State?

Hello and welcome to a midweek edition of Mackinations.


This week’s topic: baseball. Will Bo Nix be Oregon’s opening day starts in February?


Let’s try this again. This week’s topic: will Oregon get the whole Bo Nix experience against Washington State?


For those wondering what theBo Nix experience’ is, look no further than Oregon’s game against Auburn in 2019. A game where Oregon seemed to be in command against a true freshman Nix before things began to click. Suddenly, Nix was making throws, running, and pulling Aubrun back in before a game-winning touchdown pass with just a handful of seconds left on the clock.


The up and down Nix has not made his way to Eugene as he has turned in two of the best games of his career against Eastern Washington and No. 12 BYU. You may be asking, why am I not including the Georgia game? For obvious reasons, I don’t think there’s a team in college football better than Georgia. That game, as we all watched, was a complete mismatch. Yes, Nix made some poor decisions, but against that defense, you’ll be hard-pressed to find a quarterback who doesn’t.


Nix’s home and away splits have been discouraging for a few years now. In 2022, Nix has yet to play in a true road game. I know Georgia was a road game, but it’s a neutral site game in the state department.


Thanks to Erik Skopil of DuckTerritory.com and his Skopildamus predictions, the stats are presented below:


Home (20 games) — 16-4 WL record / 64.9 percent completion percentage / 230.2 pass yards per game / 30 TDs and 2 INTs / 148.6 QB Rating / 14 rushing TDs
Away (13 games) — 5-8 WL record / 55.5 percent completion percentage / 192.5 pass yards per game / 12 TDs and 12 INTs / 107.6 QB Rating / 7 rushing TDs
Neutral (4 games) —1-3 WL record / 55.9 percent completion percentage /2o4.5 pass yards per game / 4 TDs and 4 INTs / 110.2 QB Rating / 0 rushing TDs


It is a pretty impressive disparity between the friendly confines of Jordan-Hare Stadium and Autzen Stadium and any other away venue.


There is plenty of reason there to be pessimistic. However, I’m turning the page on Nix’s predominantly SEC history and moving on to the Pac-12 chapter of his book.


Washington State fans are among the best in the conference, and I have little doubt that the scene in Pullman on Saturday will be exceptional. Yet, there’s still a difference between going to Alabama, Georgia, LSU, and other venues compared to Washington State.


A reminder: Nix is ​​having his best statistical season by far in 2022. Nix is ​​completing over 70 percent of his passes, nearly 10 percent higher than any previous season. He also has a stout offensive line in front of him, one of three teams in the country not to allow a sack. In fact, Oregon’s offensive line is No. 1 in pass blocking and No. 17 in run blocking, according to PFF.


With that at Nix’s disposal, I don’t think we will see the “Bo Nix experience” come Saturday.


I believe we see a similar Nix to what we’ve seen through three games. I don’t expect him to pass for five touchdown passes like he did against Eastern Washington or secure five total as he did against BYU, but it would not surprise me for him to put up a stat line close to his averages this year.


I’m predicting something around 225 yards passing, two touchdowns, and maybe one interception. Washington State’s defense is hot out of the gates, but a steady Oregon offense with a good balance between pass and run plays should get the offense moving.


My score prediction will be up on Friday, but I like where the Ducks are sitting, and I’m optimistic about Nix’s performance on Saturday.

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