Boise State vs. UTEP odds, prediction, spread: 2022 Week 4 college football picks by model on 51-43 run

The Boise State Broncos attempt to record their third consecutive victory when they visit the UTEP Miners on Friday. Boise State (2-1) dropped its season opener at Oregon State but went on to record a 31-14 triumph at New Mexico and defeat UT Martin 30-7 at home last Saturday. The Broncos are 6-0 all-time against the Miners, who have been outscored 290-108 in the series. UTEP (1-3) is coming off a 27-10 road loss against the Lobos. The game will be broadcast live on CBS Sports Network.

Kickoff at the Sun Bowl in El Paso, Tex. is set for 9 pm ET. The Broncos are 15.5-point favorites in the latest Boise State vs. UTEP odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 45.5. Before making any UTEP vs. Boise State picks, you need to see the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of more than $3,300 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It enters Week 4 of the 2022 college football season on a 51-43 run on all top-rated college football spreads and money-line picks that date back to 2021. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Boise State vs. UTEP and just locked in its picks and CFB predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the college football odds and betting lines for UTEP vs. Boise State:

  • Boise State vs. UTEP spread: Broncos -16
  • Boise State vs. UTEP over/under: 44.5 points
  • Boise State vs. UTEP money line: Broncos -700, Miners +500
  • BSU: The Broncos are 0-5 against the spread in their last five games following a straight-up win by more than 20 points
  • UTEP: The Miners are 1-6 ATS in their last seven home contests against teams with winning road records
  • Boise State vs. UTEP picks: See picks here

Featured Game | UTEP Miners vs. Boise State Broncos

Why Boise State can cover

The Broncos crushed the Miners 54-13 at home last season, with Hank Bachmeier throwing for 340 yards and a pair of touchdowns. One of the senior quarterback’s scoring passes was a 61-yarder to wide receiver Stefan Cobbs, who made his first TD catch of 2022 on Saturday. Bachmeier completed passes to nine different players against UT Martin, with wideout Latrell Caples and running back George Holani hauling in four apiece.

Holani was the offensive star for Boise State in the victory, making a touchdown catch while also running for 110 yards and a TD. It was the eighth career 100-yard rushing performance by the redshirt junior, who returned five punts for 69 yards to finish with 226 all-purpose yards. The Broncos’ defense has been strong against the run of late, limiting New Mexico and UT Martin to a combined total of 51 rushing yards after giving up 178 against Oregon State in their season opener.

Why UTEP can cover

The Miners struggled against the run in Saturday’s setback, allowing the Lobos to gain 188 yards on the ground, but defended the pass well. UTEP limited New Mexico to 111 yards through the air and did not allow a passing touchdown. It also got to Lobos quarterback Miles Kendrick twice, with Cal Wallerstedt registering both sacks.

The redshirt junior linebacker leads the Miners with three sacks on the season, which are also the first three of his career. Wallerstedt is first in Conference USA with 5.5 tackles for loss, which places him 13th in the nation. UTEP has scored more than 13 points just once in four games despite showing an ability to move the ball as it is tied for 12th in the country with 82 first downs.

How to make Boise State vs. UTEP picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Over the total. In fact, it says Bachmeier comes up with a big performance, throwing for more than 270 yards and two touchdowns. It also has generated an against-the-spread pick that cashes in well over 50% of simulations. You can only get the model’s pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Boise State vs. UTEP? And which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the UTEP vs. Boise State spread to back, all from the advanced model that is up more than $3,300 on its top-rated college football spread picks, and find out.

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